Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 10.814416 12.468707 14.237693 16.264034 18.514749 20.931784 23.717347
2025-06-22 8.671349 10.823900 13.267805 16.227416 19.692988 23.600689 28.317212
2025-06-29 7.333549 9.790442 12.722765 16.438081 20.974546 26.286830 32.927616
2025-07-06 6.339120 8.986891 12.289366 16.640143 22.143949 28.794489 37.349911
2025-07-13 5.681813 8.497517 12.148192 17.122363 23.606555 31.649820 42.244114
2025-07-20 5.090245 8.006738 11.927292 17.436723 24.816138 34.186269 46.787795
2025-07-27 4.490975 7.424995 11.510891 17.425696 25.554396 36.104229 50.568524
2025-08-03 3.787617 6.605445 10.679123 16.761588 25.344521 36.734115 52.655416
2025-08-10 3.308807 6.062811 10.182984 16.508892 25.647570 38.013818 55.594652
2025-08-17 2.868076 5.525476 9.640162 16.134268 25.733567 38.970455 58.095676
2025-08-24 2.531337 5.116015 9.250237 15.944930 26.051789 40.230161 61.017100
2025-08-31 2.199772 4.674213 8.767329 15.571327 26.064005 41.038331 63.312180
2025-09-07 1.998350 4.440682 8.602564 15.680846 26.798805 42.900152 67.146693
2025-09-14 1.781937 4.152635 8.320636 15.579489 27.198123 44.278070 70.320215
2025-09-21 1.635889 3.979881 8.217835 15.755008 28.020028 46.286012 74.437354
2025-09-28 1.505940 3.822428 8.126584 15.938066 28.851810 48.322682 78.636942
2025-10-05 1.428027 3.761459 8.200805 16.398614 30.134130 51.060908 83.920717
2025-10-12 1.334993 3.656988 8.185492 16.699985 31.164827 53.439275 88.720567
2025-10-19 1.211302 3.469691 7.999107 16.688334 31.677831 55.032843 92.379353
2025-10-26 1.029093 3.123626 7.477864 16.046472 31.114449 54.937327 93.483138
2025-11-02 0.910005 2.906708 7.189053 15.802274 31.197659 55.839740 96.106210
2025-11-09 0.792937 2.675745 6.849968 15.440486 31.057865 56.375149 98.166127
2025-11-16 0.704534 2.503187 6.615331 15.257666 31.212780 57.375562 100.956046